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Swansea City v Bristol City prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 12:30 Championship Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Swansea City to win 51%
Swansea 51% Draw 26% Bristol 23%
Best price2.10 WilliamHill Fair price1.97 from our 51%

How we got to 51%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 53%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSwansea City to win 51%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swansea City All games W L W W L
3–1 v BBR 1–2 at HUL 2–0 at WAT 4–0 v SHF 0–2 at DRB
Bristol City All games L W L W D
0–2 at IPS 2–0 v SHF 0–5 v DRB 3–2 at HUL 2–2 v WXH

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 3 of Swansea City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Bristol City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwanseaDrawBristol
WilliamHill 2.10 3.30 3.40
bet365 1.95 3.25 3.40
Betfair 1.33 4.20 10.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swansea City v Bristol City: prediction and result

Swansea City hosted Bristol City in the Championship on Saturday 21 February and won 1–0.

Swansea City are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Derby County.

Bristol City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Wrexham.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.10 for Swansea, 4.20 for the draw and 10.00 for Bristol. The bookmakers make Swansea City favourites, at about 58% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Swansea City to win, with a 51% chance. The market puts it at 53% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 51%. The best price, 2.10 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.97, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.