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Millwall v Portsmouth prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Millwall to win 49%
Millwall 49% Draw 29% Portsmouth 22%
Best price2.20 Betfair Fair price2.04 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 51%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMillwall to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Millwall All games L W D W W
1–2 at CVC 4–0 v CHA 1–1 v SHU 2–0 at WXH 2–1 at SHF
Portsmouth All games D W L L W
1–1 v SOU 3–0 v WBA 0–1 at PNE 0–1 v SHU 3–1 at CHA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 4 of Millwall's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Portsmouth's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMillwallDrawPortsmouth
Betfair 2.20 2.50 4.20
WilliamHill 1.85 3.40 4.20
bet365 1.85 3.40 4.33
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Millwall v Portsmouth: prediction and result

Millwall hosted Portsmouth in the Championship on Saturday 21 February, and Portsmouth won 1–3 away from home.

Millwall are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Sheffield Wednesday.

Portsmouth are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win away at Charlton Athletic.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.20 for Millwall, 3.40 for the draw and 4.33 for Portsmouth. The bookmakers make Millwall favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Millwall to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 51%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 2.20 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.04, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.