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Norwich City v Birmingham City prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Birmingham City to win 44%
Norwich 32% Draw 24% Birmingham 44%
Best price2.70 bet365 Fair price2.27 from our 44%

How we got to 44%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 50%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 35%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBirmingham City to win 44%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Norwich City All games W W L W W
5–0 at WBA 2–1 v CVC 0–1 at MID 2–0 v BBR 3–0 at OXF
Birmingham City All games W D W W D
2–0 at SHF 1–1 v STK 2–0 at OXF 2–1 v LEI 0–0 v WBA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 2 of Norwich City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Birmingham City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNorwichDrawBirmingham
Betfair 15.00 7.00 1.17
bet365 2.55 3.40 2.70
WilliamHill 2.50 3.25 2.62
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Norwich City v Birmingham City: prediction and result

Norwich City hosted Birmingham City in the Championship on Saturday 21 February, and Birmingham City won 1–2 away from home.

Norwich City are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win away at Oxford United.

Birmingham City are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to West Bromwich Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 15.00 for Norwich, 7.00 for the draw and 2.70 for Birmingham. The bookmakers make Birmingham City favourites, at about 64% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Birmingham City to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 50% and our match model at 35%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 2.70 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.27, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.