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Burton Albion v Stockport County prediction

Tue 24 Feb, 19:45 League One Full time 3–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Stockport County to win 45%
Burton 28% Draw 27% Stockport 45%
Best price2.20 bet365 Fair price2.21 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceStockport County to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burton Albion All games D L D W D
2–2 v CDF 1–2 v DNR 2–2 at PTV 1–0 v RTU 1–1 at LUT
Stockport County All games W W D L W
2–1 at BLK 2–1 v PLA 0–0 v LEY 0–1 at BDC 4–2 v WIG

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 4 of Burton Albion's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Stockport County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurtonDrawStockport
Betfair 3.20 3.30 2.10
bet365 3.20 3.40 2.20
WilliamHill 3.10 3.25 2.15
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burton Albion v Stockport County: prediction and result

Burton Albion hosted Stockport County in the League One on Tuesday 24 February and won 3–0.

Burton Albion are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Luton Town.

Stockport County are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 4–2 win at home to Wigan Athletic.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.20 for Burton, 3.40 for the draw and 2.20 for Stockport. The bookmakers make Stockport County favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Stockport County to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.20 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.21. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.