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Northampton Town v Port Vale prediction

Tue 24 Feb, 19:45 League One Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Northampton Town to win 40%
Northampton 40% Draw 29% Port Vale 31%
Best price2.37 bet365 Fair price2.48 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNorthampton Town to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Northampton Town All games D W D L L
2–2 at BRS 3–1 v STV 0–0 at EXE 0–4 at LNC 1–2 v LEY
Port Vale All games W L D L D
1–0 at LEY 0–1 v AWM 2–2 v BRA 1–2 at STV 1–1 v RDG

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 4 of Northampton Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Port Vale's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNorthamptonDrawPort Vale
bet365 2.37 3.10 3.10
WilliamHill 2.30 3.00 3.00
Betfair 2.30 3.10 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Northampton Town v Port Vale: prediction and result

Northampton Town hosted Port Vale in the League One on Tuesday 24 February, and Port Vale won 0–1 away from home.

Northampton Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Leyton Orient.

Port Vale are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Reading.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.37 for Northampton, 3.10 for the draw and 3.10 for Port Vale. The bookmakers make Northampton Town favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Northampton Town to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.37 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.48. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.