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Mansfield Town v AFC Wimbledon prediction

Sat 28 Feb, 15:00 League One Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Mansfield Town to win 49%
Mansfield 49% Draw 26% AFC Wimbledon 25%
Best price2.20 bet365 Fair price2.05 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMansfield Town to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Mansfield Town All games D D L L L
0–0 v WYC 0–0 v EXE 1–2 v PTU 0–1 at BLK 0–2 v LNC
AFC Wimbledon All games W W D L W
1–0 at PTV 3–2 v RDG 3–3 at BRS 1–4 at CDF 3–1 v BDC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 1 of Mansfield Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of AFC Wimbledon's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMansfieldDrawAFC Wimbledon
bet365 2.20 3.10 3.40
WilliamHill 2.15 3.20 3.25
Betfair 1.33 4.50 10.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Mansfield Town v AFC Wimbledon: prediction and result

Mansfield Town hosted AFC Wimbledon in the League One on Saturday 28 February, and it finished 2–2.

Mansfield Town are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 1 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Lincoln City.

AFC Wimbledon are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Bradford City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.20 for Mansfield, 4.50 for the draw and 10.00 for AFC Wimbledon. The bookmakers make Mansfield Town favourites, at about 59% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Mansfield Town to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 2.20 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.05, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.