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Exeter City v Lincoln City prediction

Tue 10 Mar, 19:45 League One Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Lincoln City to win 50%
Exeter 25% Draw 25% Lincoln 50%
Best price1.72 bet365 Fair price2.01 from our 50%

How we got to 50%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 55%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLincoln City to win 50%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Exeter City All games D D L D L
1–1 v WYC 3–3 at PTU 1–5 v BOL 1–1 v BRA 1–2 at BRS
Lincoln City All games D W W W W
1–1 v BOL 4–0 v NHT 2–0 at MAN 4–0 v BLK 2–0 at CDF

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 3 of Exeter City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Lincoln City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerExeterDrawLincoln
Betfair 4.60 4.00 1.67
WilliamHill 4.40 3.70 1.70
bet365 4.20 3.90 1.72
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Exeter City v Lincoln City: prediction and result

Exeter City hosted Lincoln City in the League One on Tuesday 10 March, and Lincoln City won 0–1 away from home.

Exeter City are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Barnsley.

Lincoln City are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Cardiff City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.60 for Exeter, 4.00 for the draw and 1.72 for Lincoln. The bookmakers make Lincoln City favourites, at about 55% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Lincoln City to win, with a 50% chance. The market puts it at 55% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 50%. The best price, 1.72 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.01. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.