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Port Vale v Bradford City prediction

Wed 11 Mar, 19:45 League One Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Bradford City to win 41%
Port Vale 31% Draw 28% Bradford 41%
Best price2.00 WilliamHill Fair price2.45 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 31%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBradford City to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Port Vale All games D L D W D
2–2 v BRA 1–2 at STV 1–1 v RDG 1–0 at NHT 1–1 v LUT
Bradford City All games W L W L W
1–0 v STO 1–3 at AWM 1–0 v RTU 1–2 at RDG 2–1 v LEY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 5 of Port Vale's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Bradford City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPort ValeDrawBradford
bet365 3.90 3.40 1.90
Betfair 3.80 3.20 1.95
WilliamHill 3.70 3.10 2.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Port Vale v Bradford City: prediction and result

Port Vale hosted Bradford City in the League One on Wednesday 11 March, and Bradford City won 0–2 away from home.

Port Vale are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Luton Town.

Bradford City are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Leyton Orient.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.90 for Port Vale, 3.40 for the draw and 2.00 for Bradford. The bookmakers make Bradford City favourites, at about 48% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bradford City to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 31%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.00 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.45. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.