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Portsmouth v Swansea City prediction

Tue 10 Mar, 19:45 Championship Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Portsmouth to win 42%
Portsmouth 42% Draw 28% Swansea 30%
Best price2.40 Betfair Fair price2.38 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePortsmouth to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Portsmouth All games W W L L D
3–1 at CHA 3–1 at MLW 1–2 at WXH 0–1 v HUL 1–1 at BBR
Swansea City All games L W D L W
0–2 at DRB 1–0 v BSC 1–1 v PNE 0–3 at IPS 2–0 v STK

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 3 of Portsmouth's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Swansea City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPortsmouthDrawSwansea
Betfair 2.40 3.20 3.10
bet365 2.35 3.30 3.00
WilliamHill 2.30 3.10 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Portsmouth v Swansea City: prediction and result

Portsmouth hosted Swansea City in the Championship on Tuesday 10 March, and Swansea City won 1–2 away from home.

Portsmouth are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Blackburn Rovers.

Swansea City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Stoke City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.40 for Portsmouth, 3.30 for the draw and 3.10 for Swansea. The bookmakers make Portsmouth favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Portsmouth to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.40 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.38, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.