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Middlesbrough v Charlton Athletic prediction

Wed 11 Mar, 19:45 Championship Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Middlesbrough to win 68%
Middlesbrough 68% Draw 20% Charlton 13%
Best price1.29 WilliamHill Fair price1.48 from our 68%

How we got to 68%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 72%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 61%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMiddlesbrough to win 68%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Middlesbrough All games L D D W W
1–3 at CVC 0–0 v OXF 1–1 v LEI 3–1 at BRC 4–0 at QPR
Charlton Athletic All games L D D L W
1–3 v PTM 1–1 at SOU 1–1 at WBA 0–1 v WXH 1–0 v BRC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes45% Both teams scored in 1 of Middlesbrough's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Charlton Athletic's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMiddlesbroughDrawCharlton
WilliamHill 1.29 5.00 9.00
bet365 1.27 6.00 8.50
Betfair 1.25 5.00 9.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Middlesbrough v Charlton Athletic: prediction and result

Middlesbrough hosted Charlton Athletic in the Championship on Wednesday 11 March, and Charlton Athletic won 0–1 away from home.

Middlesbrough are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 4–0 win away at Queens Park Rangers.

Charlton Athletic are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Birmingham City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.29 for Middlesbrough, 6.00 for the draw and 9.50 for Charlton. The bookmakers make Middlesbrough favourites, at about 74% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Middlesbrough to win, with a 68% chance. The market puts it at 72% and our match model at 61%, and blending those with recent form gives 68%. The best price, 1.29 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.48. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.