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AFC Wimbledon v Leyton Orient prediction

Tue 17 Mar, 19:45 League One Full time 2–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
AFC Wimbledon to win 43%
AFC Wimbledon 43% Draw 28% Leyton Orient 29%
Best price2.38 Betfair Fair price2.33 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAFC Wimbledon to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Wimbledon All games W D W W L
3–1 v BDC 2–2 at MAN 1–0 v NHT 4–1 v BLK 0–1 at STV
Leyton Orient All games W L L W W
2–1 at NHT 1–3 v BRS 1–2 at BDC 2–1 at STV 2–1 v PTU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of AFC Wimbledon's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Leyton Orient's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC WimbledonDrawLeyton Orient
Betfair 2.38 3.10 3.20
WilliamHill 2.30 3.00 3.00
bet365 2.25 3.20 3.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Wimbledon v Leyton Orient: prediction and result

AFC Wimbledon hosted Leyton Orient in the League One on Tuesday 17 March, and Leyton Orient won 2–4 away from home.

AFC Wimbledon are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Stevenage.

Leyton Orient are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Peterborough United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.38 for AFC Wimbledon, 3.20 for the draw and 3.20 for Leyton Orient. The bookmakers make AFC Wimbledon favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: AFC Wimbledon to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.38 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.33, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.