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Luton Town v Exeter City prediction

Tue 17 Mar, 19:45 League One Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Luton Town to win 56%
Luton 56% Draw 23% Exeter 20%
Best price1.62 WilliamHill Fair price1.77 from our 56%

How we got to 56%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 58%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 54%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLuton Town to win 56%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Luton Town All games D D L D W
1–1 v BRA 1–1 at PTV 2–3 v RDG 1–1 at DNR 2–1 at WYC
Exeter City All games L D L L L
1–5 v BOL 1–1 v BRA 1–2 at BRS 0–1 v LNC 0–4 v CDF

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes60% Both teams scored in 5 of Luton Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Exeter City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLutonDrawExeter
WilliamHill 1.62 3.90 4.75
Betfair 1.60 4.20 5.00
bet365 1.57 4.10 5.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Luton Town v Exeter City: prediction and result

Luton Town hosted Exeter City in the League One on Tuesday 17 March and won 3–2.

Luton Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Wycombe Wanderers.

Exeter City are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 13 in that run. Their last game was a 0–4 defeat at home to Cardiff City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.62 for Luton, 4.20 for the draw and 5.00 for Exeter. The bookmakers make Luton Town favourites, at about 58% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Luton Town to win, with a 56% chance. The market puts it at 58% and our match model at 54%, and blending those with recent form gives 56%. The best price, 1.62 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.77. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.