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Plymouth Argyle v Stevenage prediction

Tue 17 Mar, 19:45 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Plymouth Argyle to win 42%
Plymouth 42% Draw 29% Stevenage 29%
Best price2.30 WilliamHill Fair price2.38 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePlymouth Argyle to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Plymouth Argyle All games W L W W D
5–2 v CDF 0–1 at RTU 2–1 v DNR 3–0 at WIG 2–2 at RDG
Stevenage All games L W W L W
1–3 at WYC 2–1 v STO 1–0 at BRA 1–2 v LEY 1–0 v AWM

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 4 of Plymouth Argyle's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Stevenage's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPlymouthDrawStevenage
WilliamHill 2.30 3.00 3.10
Betfair 2.30 3.10 3.30
bet365 2.25 3.10 3.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Plymouth Argyle v Stevenage: prediction and result

Plymouth Argyle hosted Stevenage in the League One on Tuesday 17 March and won 1–0.

Plymouth Argyle are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Reading.

Stevenage are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to AFC Wimbledon.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Plymouth, 3.10 for the draw and 3.30 for Stevenage. The bookmakers make Plymouth Argyle favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.30 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.38. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.