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Burton Albion v Reading prediction

Tue 17 Mar, 19:45 League One Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Burton Albion to win 40%
Burton 40% Draw 28% Reading 32%
Best price2.20 WilliamHill Fair price2.49 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 36%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBurton Albion to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burton Albion All games W L D L W
3–0 v STO 0–3 at WYC 1–1 at EXE 0–1 v STV 2–0 at NHT
Reading All games D W W L D
1–1 at PTV 2–1 v BDC 3–2 at LUT 0–1 at MAN 2–2 v PLA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 3 of Burton Albion's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Reading's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurtonDrawReading
WilliamHill 2.20 3.10 3.20
Betfair 2.20 3.30 3.40
bet365 2.15 3.20 3.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burton Albion v Reading: prediction and result

Burton Albion hosted Reading in the League One on Tuesday 17 March, and Reading won 1–2 away from home.

Burton Albion are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Northampton Town.

Reading are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Plymouth Argyle.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.20 for Burton, 3.30 for the draw and 3.40 for Reading. The bookmakers make Burton Albion favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Burton Albion to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 36%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.20 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.49. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.