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Luton Town v Stockport County prediction

Sat 21 Mar, 12:30 League One Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Luton Town to win 41%
Luton 41% Draw 27% Stockport 32%
Best price2.62 bet365 Fair price2.47 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLuton Town to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Luton Town All games D L D W W
1–1 at PTV 2–3 v RDG 1–1 at DNR 2–1 at WYC 3–2 v EXE
Stockport County All games W L L L W
4–2 v WIG 0–3 at BRA 1–2 at STV 1–3 at LNC 2–1 v NHT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 5 of Luton Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Stockport County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLutonDrawStockport
bet365 2.62 3.40 2.50
WilliamHill 2.50 3.20 2.62
Betfair 2.50 3.25 2.63
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Luton Town v Stockport County: prediction and result

Luton Town hosted Stockport County in the League One on Saturday 21 March, and it finished 1–1.

Luton Town are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win at home to Exeter City.

Stockport County are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Northampton Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.62 for Luton, 3.40 for the draw and 2.63 for Stockport. The bookmakers see little between Luton Town and Stockport County here.

Our prediction: Luton Town to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.62 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.47, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.