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Port Vale v Bolton Wanderers prediction

Sat 21 Mar, 15:00 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Bolton Wanderers to win 56%
Port Vale 19% Draw 25% Bolton 56%
Best price1.67 Betfair Fair price1.79 from our 56%

How we got to 56%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 58%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 53%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBolton Wanderers to win 56%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Port Vale All games W D L D L
1–0 at NHT 1–1 v LUT 0–2 v BDC 0–0 v HDD 2–3 at BLK
Bolton Wanderers All games D W W D D
2–2 v BLK 5–1 at EXE 3–2 v WYC 2–2 at RTU 0–0 v DNR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 3 of Port Vale's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPort ValeDrawBolton
WilliamHill 5.00 3.90 1.55
Betfair 5.00 3.50 1.67
bet365 5.00 4.20 1.55
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Port Vale v Bolton Wanderers: prediction and result

Port Vale hosted Bolton Wanderers in the League One on Saturday 21 March and won 1–0.

Port Vale are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at Blackpool.

Bolton Wanderers are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Doncaster Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 5.00 for Port Vale, 4.20 for the draw and 1.67 for Bolton. The bookmakers make Bolton Wanderers favourites, at about 58% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bolton Wanderers to win, with a 56% chance. The market puts it at 58% and our match model at 53%, and blending those with recent form gives 56%. The best price, 1.67 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 1.79. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.