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Stevenage v Reading prediction

Sat 21 Mar, 15:00 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Stevenage to win 44%
Stevenage 44% Draw 30% Reading 26%
Best price2.10 Betfair Fair price2.28 from our 44%

How we got to 44%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceStevenage to win 44%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Stevenage All games W W L W L
2–1 v STO 1–0 at BRA 1–2 v LEY 1–0 v AWM 0–1 at PLA
Reading All games W W L D W
2–1 v BDC 3–2 at LUT 0–1 at MAN 2–2 v PLA 2–1 at BRA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 3 of Stevenage's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Reading's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerStevenageDrawReading
Betfair 2.10 2.88 4.20
bet365 2.00 3.00 4.20
WilliamHill 1.95 2.90 4.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Stevenage v Reading: prediction and result

Stevenage hosted Reading in the League One on Saturday 21 March and won 1–0.

Stevenage are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Plymouth Argyle.

Reading are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Burton Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.10 for Stevenage, 3.00 for the draw and 4.20 for Reading. The bookmakers make Stevenage favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Stevenage to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 2.10 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.28. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.