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Wigan Athletic v Exeter City prediction

Sat 21 Mar, 15:00 League One Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Wigan Athletic to win 47%
Wigan 47% Draw 27% Exeter 25%
Best price2.20 WilliamHill Fair price2.11 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 51%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWigan Athletic to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Wigan Athletic All games W D L W D
1–0 v HDD 1–1 at BLK 0–3 v PLA 2–0 v BDC 1–1 at BRS
Exeter City All games D L L L L
1–1 v BRA 1–2 at BRS 0–1 v LNC 0–4 v CDF 2–3 at LUT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 1 of Wigan Athletic's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Exeter City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWiganDrawExeter
WilliamHill 2.20 3.00 3.30
bet365 2.05 3.10 4.00
Betfair 1.40 4.20 8.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Wigan Athletic v Exeter City: prediction and result

Wigan Athletic hosted Exeter City in the League One on Saturday 21 March and won 2–0.

Wigan Athletic are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Barnsley.

Exeter City are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at Luton Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.20 for Wigan, 4.20 for the draw and 8.00 for Exeter. The bookmakers make Wigan Athletic favourites, at about 56% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Wigan Athletic to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 51% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 2.20 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.11, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.