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Doncaster Rovers v Port Vale prediction

Tue 24 Mar, 19:45 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Doncaster Rovers to win 52%
Doncaster 52% Draw 26% Port Vale 22%
Best price1.75 WilliamHill Fair price1.92 from our 52%

How we got to 52%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 54%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceDoncaster Rovers to win 52%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Doncaster Rovers All games L D W D W
1–2 at PLA 1–1 v LUT 2–1 v BLK 0–0 at BOL 1–0 at BRS
Port Vale All games D L D L W
1–1 v LUT 0–2 v BDC 0–0 v HDD 2–3 at BLK 1–0 v BOL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 3 of Doncaster Rovers's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Port Vale's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerDoncasterDrawPort Vale
WilliamHill 1.75 3.50 4.33
Betfair 1.70 3.75 4.75
bet365 1.70 3.60 4.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Doncaster Rovers v Port Vale: prediction and result

Doncaster Rovers hosted Port Vale in the League One on Tuesday 24 March and won 1–0.

Doncaster Rovers are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Barnsley.

Port Vale are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Bolton Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.75 for Doncaster, 3.75 for the draw and 4.75 for Port Vale. The bookmakers make Doncaster Rovers favourites, at about 54% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Doncaster Rovers to win, with a 52% chance. The market puts it at 54% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 52%. The best price, 1.75 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.92. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.