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Reading v Wigan Athletic prediction

Sat 28 Mar, 15:00 League One Full time 3–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Reading to win 44%
Reading 44% Draw 29% Wigan 27%
Best price2.30 Betfair Fair price2.29 from our 44%

How we got to 44%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceReading to win 44%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Reading All games W L D W L
3–2 at LUT 0–1 at MAN 2–2 v PLA 2–1 at BRA 0–1 at STV
Wigan Athletic All games D L W D W
1–1 at BLK 0–3 v PLA 2–0 v BDC 1–1 at BRS 2–0 v EXE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 6 of Reading's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Wigan Athletic's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerReadingDrawWigan
Betfair 2.30 3.20 3.25
WilliamHill 2.25 3.10 3.10
bet365 2.25 3.25 3.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Reading v Wigan Athletic: prediction and result

Reading hosted Wigan Athletic in the League One on Saturday 28 March and won 3–0.

Reading are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Stevenage.

Wigan Athletic are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Exeter City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Reading, 3.25 for the draw and 3.25 for Wigan. The bookmakers make Reading favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Reading to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 2.30 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.29, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.