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Blackpool v Burton Albion prediction

Sat 28 Mar, 15:00 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Blackpool to win 40%
Blackpool 40% Draw 28% Burton 32%
Best price2.40 WilliamHill Fair price2.49 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 39%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBlackpool to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Blackpool All games D L L W D
1–1 v WIG 1–4 at AWM 1–2 at DNR 3–2 v PTV 0–0 at CDF
Burton Albion All games D L W L W
1–1 at EXE 0–1 v STV 2–0 at NHT 1–2 v RDG 2–1 v BDC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 3 of Blackpool's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Burton Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBlackpoolDrawBurton
WilliamHill 2.40 3.10 2.90
bet365 2.40 3.20 2.90
Betfair 2.38 3.25 2.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Blackpool v Burton Albion: prediction and result

Blackpool hosted Burton Albion in the League One on Saturday 28 March and won 1–0.

Blackpool are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Cardiff City.

Burton Albion are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Bradford City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.40 for Blackpool, 3.25 for the draw and 2.90 for Burton. The bookmakers make Blackpool favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Blackpool to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 39% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.40 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.49. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.