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Accrington Stanley v Crewe Alexandra prediction

Fri 3 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Crewe Alexandra to win 48%
Accrington 25% Draw 27% Crewe 48%
Best price2.15 bet365 Fair price2.08 from our 48%

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 51%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCrewe Alexandra to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Accrington Stanley All games D D L L L
1–1 v CMU 0–0 at BRW 0–4 v NOT 0–1 v CST 0–2 at BRR
Crewe Alexandra All games L L D W W
1–2 at BRR 0–3 v WSL 1–1 at CTT 4–0 at SHT 2–1 v OAT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 1 of Accrington Stanley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAccringtonDrawCrewe
Betfair 4.20 3.00 2.00
WilliamHill 3.60 3.40 1.95
bet365 3.30 3.30 2.15
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Accrington Stanley v Crewe Alexandra: prediction and result

Accrington Stanley hosted Crewe Alexandra in the League Two on Friday 3 April and won 2–0.

Accrington Stanley are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 1 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Bristol Rovers.

Crewe Alexandra are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Oldham Athletic.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.20 for Accrington, 3.40 for the draw and 2.15 for Crewe. The bookmakers make Crewe Alexandra favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Crewe Alexandra to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 51%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 2.15 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.08, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.