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Chesterfield v Cheltenham Town prediction

Fri 3 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Chesterfield to win 62%
Chesterfield 62% Draw 22% Cheltenham 16%
Best price1.57 WilliamHill Fair price1.62 from our 62%

How we got to 62%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 67%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 54%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChesterfield to win 62%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Chesterfield All games W L W L W
3–0 v CLU 2–3 v SHT 3–2 at NOT 0–3 v OAT 1–0 at ACC
Cheltenham Town All games D D W D L
2–2 v BRW 2–2 at FLT 2–0 at SHT 1–1 v CAX 2–5 at NOT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 3 of Chesterfield's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Cheltenham Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerChesterfieldDrawCheltenham
WilliamHill 1.57 3.80 5.50
bet365 1.55 3.90 6.00
Betfair 1.13 6.50 21.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Chesterfield v Cheltenham Town: prediction and result

Chesterfield hosted Cheltenham Town in the League Two on Friday 3 April and won 1–0.

Chesterfield are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Accrington Stanley.

Cheltenham Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 2–5 defeat away at Notts County.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.57 for Chesterfield, 6.50 for the draw and 21.00 for Cheltenham. The bookmakers make Chesterfield favourites, at about 76% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Chesterfield to win, with a 62% chance. The market puts it at 67% and our match model at 54%, and blending those with recent form gives 62%. The best price, 1.57 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.62. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.