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Blackpool v Exeter City prediction

Fri 3 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Blackpool to win 54%
Blackpool 54% Draw 25% Exeter 22%
Best price2.00 bet365 Fair price1.86 from our 54%

How we got to 54%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 57%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBlackpool to win 54%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Blackpool All games L L W D W
1–4 at AWM 1–2 at DNR 3–2 v PTV 0–0 at CDF 1–0 v BRA
Exeter City All games L L L L D
0–1 v LNC 0–4 v CDF 2–3 at LUT 0–2 at WIG 0–0 v LEY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 3 of Blackpool's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Exeter City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBlackpoolDrawExeter
bet365 2.00 3.50 3.60
WilliamHill 1.85 3.40 3.80
Betfair 1.25 5.00 15.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Blackpool v Exeter City: prediction and result

Blackpool hosted Exeter City in the League One on Friday 3 April and won 1–0.

Blackpool are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Burton Albion.

Exeter City are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Leyton Orient.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.00 for Blackpool, 5.00 for the draw and 15.00 for Exeter. The bookmakers make Blackpool favourites, at about 65% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Blackpool to win, with a 54% chance. The market puts it at 57% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 54%. The best price, 2.00 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 1.86, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.