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Burton Albion v Barnsley prediction

Fri 3 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Burton Albion to win 44%
Burton 44% Draw 26% Barnsley 30%
Best price2.10 bet365 Fair price2.29 from our 44%

How we got to 44%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBurton Albion to win 44%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burton Albion All games L W L W L
0–1 v STV 2–0 at NHT 1–2 v RDG 2–1 v BDC 0–1 at BLK
Barnsley All games W D D D L
2–1 v EXE 1–1 v CDF 2–2 at MAN 1–1 v WIG 0–1 v DNR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 3 of Burton Albion's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Barnsley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurtonDrawBarnsley
bet365 2.10 3.30 3.50
WilliamHill 2.05 3.30 3.30
Betfair 2.05 3.30 3.30
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burton Albion v Barnsley: prediction and result

Burton Albion hosted Barnsley in the League One on Friday 3 April, and it finished 1–1.

Burton Albion are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Blackpool.

Barnsley are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Doncaster Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.10 for Burton, 3.30 for the draw and 3.50 for Barnsley. The bookmakers make Burton Albion favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Burton Albion to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 2.10 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.29. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.