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Lincoln City v AFC Wimbledon prediction

Fri 3 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Lincoln City to win 63%
Lincoln 63% Draw 23% AFC Wimbledon 14%
Best price1.73 Betfair Fair price1.58 from our 63%

How we got to 63%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 61%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 66%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLincoln City to win 63%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Lincoln City All games W W W D W
2–0 at CDF 1–0 at EXE 3–1 v STO 2–2 at HDD 3–0 v RTU
AFC Wimbledon All games W L L D L
4–1 v BLK 0–1 at STV 2–4 v LEY 1–1 v PTU 0–3 at STO

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes46% Both teams scored in 2 of Lincoln City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of AFC Wimbledon's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLincolnDrawAFC Wimbledon
Betfair 1.73 3.00 6.00
bet365 1.44 4.33 7.00
WilliamHill 1.40 4.00 7.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Lincoln City v AFC Wimbledon: prediction and result

Lincoln City hosted AFC Wimbledon in the League One on Friday 3 April and won 1–0.

Lincoln City are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Rotherham United.

AFC Wimbledon are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Stockport County.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.73 for Lincoln, 4.33 for the draw and 7.50 for AFC Wimbledon. The bookmakers make Lincoln City favourites, at about 61% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Lincoln City to win, with a 63% chance. The market puts it at 61% and our match model at 66%, and blending those with recent form gives 63%. The best price, 1.73 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.