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Plymouth Argyle v Bolton Wanderers prediction

Fri 3 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Plymouth Argyle to win 39%
Plymouth 39% Draw 26% Bolton 35%
Best price2.30 bet365 Fair price2.55 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 36%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePlymouth Argyle to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Plymouth Argyle All games W W D W W
2–1 v DNR 3–0 at WIG 2–2 at RDG 1–0 v STV 3–1 v HDD
Bolton Wanderers All games W W D D L
5–1 at EXE 3–2 v WYC 2–2 at RTU 0–0 v DNR 0–1 at PTV

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes62% Both teams scored in 5 of Plymouth Argyle's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPlymouthDrawBolton
bet365 2.30 3.40 2.87
WilliamHill 2.20 3.60 2.75
Betfair 2.20 3.70 2.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Plymouth Argyle v Bolton Wanderers: prediction and result

Plymouth Argyle hosted Bolton Wanderers in the League One on Friday 3 April, and Bolton Wanderers won 1–2 away from home.

Plymouth Argyle are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Huddersfield Town.

Bolton Wanderers are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Port Vale.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Plymouth, 3.70 for the draw and 2.87 for Bolton. The bookmakers make Plymouth Argyle favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 36%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.30 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.55. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.