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Barnsley v Plymouth Argyle prediction

Mon 6 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 0–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Plymouth Argyle to win 42%
Barnsley 33% Draw 25% Plymouth 42%
Best price2.25 bet365 Fair price2.40 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePlymouth Argyle to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barnsley All games D D D L D
1–1 v CDF 2–2 at MAN 1–1 v WIG 0–1 v DNR 1–1 at BRA
Plymouth Argyle All games W D W W L
3–0 at WIG 2–2 at RDG 1–0 v STV 3–1 v HDD 1–2 v BOL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 4 of Barnsley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Plymouth Argyle's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarnsleyDrawPlymouth
bet365 2.87 3.70 2.25
WilliamHill 2.80 3.60 2.15
Betfair 2.80 3.70 2.15
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barnsley v Plymouth Argyle: prediction and result

Barnsley hosted Plymouth Argyle in the League One on Monday 6 April, and Plymouth Argyle won 0–3 away from home.

Barnsley are in mixed form: 0 won, 4 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Burton Albion.

Plymouth Argyle are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Bolton Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.87 for Barnsley, 3.70 for the draw and 2.25 for Plymouth. The bookmakers make Plymouth Argyle favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.25 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.40. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.