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Northampton Town v Wigan Athletic prediction

Mon 6 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Wigan Athletic to win 39%
Northampton 32% Draw 29% Wigan 39%
Best price2.10 bet365 Fair price2.55 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 31%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWigan Athletic to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Northampton Town All games L L L L L
0–1 at AWM 0–2 v BRA 1–2 at STO 1–4 at MAN 0–1 at BDC
Wigan Athletic All games W D W L D
2–0 v BDC 1–1 at BRS 2–0 v EXE 0–3 at RDG 0–0 v LEY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 3 of Northampton Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Wigan Athletic's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNorthamptonDrawWigan
Betfair 3.80 3.25 2.05
bet365 3.60 3.10 2.10
WilliamHill 3.50 3.10 2.05
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Northampton Town v Wigan Athletic: prediction and result

Northampton Town hosted Wigan Athletic in the League One on Monday 6 April, and Wigan Athletic won 1–3 away from home.

Northampton Town are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Bradford City.

Wigan Athletic are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Leyton Orient.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.80 for Northampton, 3.25 for the draw and 2.10 for Wigan. The bookmakers make Wigan Athletic favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Wigan Athletic to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 31%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.10 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.55. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.