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Leicester City v Swansea City prediction

Sat 11 Apr, 15:00 Championship Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Leicester City to win 47%
Leicester 47% Draw 27% Swansea 26%
Best price2.00 Betfair Fair price2.11 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 49%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLeicester City to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Leicester City All games W L D D D
2–0 v BSC 1–3 v QPR 0–0 at WAT 2–2 v PNE 1–1 at SHF
Swansea City All games W L L D D
2–1 at PTM 0–2 at WXH 0–3 v CVC 3–3 at SHU 2–2 v MID

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Leicester City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Swansea City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLeicesterDrawSwansea
Betfair 2.00 3.00 4.20
bet365 1.90 3.70 3.90
WilliamHill 1.85 3.50 3.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Leicester City v Swansea City: prediction and result

Leicester City hosted Swansea City in the Championship on Saturday 11 April, and Swansea City won 0–1 away from home.

Leicester City are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Sheffield Wednesday.

Swansea City are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Middlesbrough.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.00 for Leicester, 3.70 for the draw and 4.20 for Swansea. The bookmakers make Leicester City favourites, at about 50% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Leicester City to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 49% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 2.00 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.11. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.