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Middlesbrough v Portsmouth prediction

Sat 11 Apr, 15:00 Championship Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Middlesbrough to win 54%
Middlesbrough 54% Draw 31% Portsmouth 15%
Best price3.00 Betfair Fair price1.86 from our 54%

How we got to 54%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 56%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMiddlesbrough to win 54%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Middlesbrough All games L D D L D
0–1 v CHA 1–1 v BSC 0–0 at BBR 1–2 v MLW 2–2 at SWA
Portsmouth All games L L L D D
1–2 v SWA 0–1 v DRB 1–6 at QPR 1–1 at NOR 2–2 v OXF

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 3 of Middlesbrough's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 6 of Portsmouth's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMiddlesbroughDrawPortsmouth
Betfair 3.00 1.44 15.00
bet365 1.50 4.20 6.50
WilliamHill 1.44 4.00 6.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Middlesbrough v Portsmouth: prediction and result

Middlesbrough hosted Portsmouth in the Championship on Saturday 11 April, and Portsmouth won 0–1 away from home.

Middlesbrough are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Swansea City.

Portsmouth are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Oxford United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Middlesbrough, 4.20 for the draw and 15.00 for Portsmouth. The bookmakers make Middlesbrough favourites, at about 52% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Middlesbrough to win, with a 54% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 56%, and blending those with recent form gives 54%. The best price, 3.00 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 1.86, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.