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Barrow v Oldham Athletic prediction

Tue 14 Apr, 19:45 League Two Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Oldham Athletic to win 45%
Barrow 26% Draw 28% Oldham 45%
Best price2.15 bet365 Fair price2.21 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceOldham Athletic to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barrow All games L W D L L
0–5 at GBT 2–1 v BMY 0–0 at MKD 0–1 v CST 2–3 at BNT
Oldham Athletic All games W L W D L
3–0 v NOT 1–2 at CAX 3–1 at CLU 1–1 v MKD 0–1 at SHT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 1 of Barrow's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Oldham Athletic's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarrowDrawOldham
bet365 3.60 3.10 2.15
Betfair 3.50 3.10 2.10
WilliamHill 3.30 3.10 2.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barrow v Oldham Athletic: prediction and result

Barrow hosted Oldham Athletic in the League Two on Tuesday 14 April and won 3–2.

Barrow are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at Barnet.

Oldham Athletic are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Shrewsbury Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.60 for Barrow, 3.10 for the draw and 2.15 for Oldham. The bookmakers make Oldham Athletic favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Oldham Athletic to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.15 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.21. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.