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Crewe Alexandra v Milton Keynes Dons prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Milton Keynes Dons to win 50%
Crewe 25% Draw 25% Milton Keynes 50%
Best price2.00 WilliamHill Fair price2.00 from our 50%

How we got to 50%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 55%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMilton Keynes Dons to win 50%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Crewe Alexandra All games W W L W L
4–0 at SHT 2–1 v OAT 0–2 at ACC 1–0 v SAL 2–3 at GBT
Milton Keynes Dons All games L L D D W
1–3 v BNT 0–1 at SAL 0–0 v BRW 1–1 at OAT 2–1 v BMY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 2 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Milton Keynes Dons's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCreweDrawMilton Keynes
Betfair 8.00 5.00 1.33
bet365 3.80 3.40 1.95
WilliamHill 3.40 3.40 2.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Crewe Alexandra v Milton Keynes Dons: prediction and result

Crewe Alexandra hosted Milton Keynes Dons in the League Two on Saturday 18 April, and Milton Keynes Dons won 1–3 away from home.

Crewe Alexandra are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at Grimsby Town.

Milton Keynes Dons are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Bromley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 8.00 for Crewe, 5.00 for the draw and 2.00 for Milton Keynes. The bookmakers make Milton Keynes Dons favourites, at about 61% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Milton Keynes Dons to win, with a 50% chance. The market puts it at 55% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 50%. The best price, 2.00 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.00. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.