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Swindon Town v Accrington Stanley prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 12:30 League Two Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Swindon Town to win 49%
Swindon 49% Draw 26% Accrington 25%
Best price3.00 Betfair Fair price2.04 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 52%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSwindon Town to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swindon Town All games W D D W L
1–0 at TRR 1–1 v FLT 1–1 at CMU 2–1 v WSL 0–3 at CLU
Accrington Stanley All games L W L L L
0–2 at BRR 2–0 v CAX 0–2 at GLG 1–2 v FLT 1–2 at CLU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 5 of Swindon Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Accrington Stanley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwindonDrawAccrington
Betfair 3.00 3.25 2.25
WilliamHill 1.73 3.50 4.50
bet365 1.61 3.80 5.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swindon Town v Accrington Stanley: prediction and result

Swindon Town hosted Accrington Stanley in the League Two on Saturday 18 April, and it finished 2–2.

Swindon Town are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Colchester United.

Accrington Stanley are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Colchester United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Swindon, 3.80 for the draw and 5.00 for Accrington. The bookmakers make Swindon Town favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Swindon Town to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 52%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 3.00 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.04, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.