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Bolton Wanderers v Stevenage prediction

Tue 14 Apr, 19:45 League One Full time 5–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Bolton Wanderers to win 54%
Bolton 54% Draw 26% Stevenage 20%
Best price1.75 WilliamHill Fair price1.87 from our 54%

How we got to 54%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 53%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 55%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBolton Wanderers to win 54%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bolton Wanderers All games D L W D L
0–0 v DNR 0–1 at PTV 2–1 at PLA 2–2 v STO 0–2 at CDF
Stevenage All games L W D W W
0–1 at PLA 1–0 v RDG 0–0 at RTU 1–0 v BLK 1–0 at BDC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 5 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Stevenage's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBoltonDrawStevenage
WilliamHill 1.75 3.30 4.40
Betfair 1.75 3.30 4.60
bet365 1.75 3.75 4.33
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bolton Wanderers v Stevenage: prediction and result

Bolton Wanderers hosted Stevenage in the League One on Tuesday 14 April and won 5–1.

Bolton Wanderers are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Cardiff City.

Stevenage are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Bradford City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.75 for Bolton, 3.75 for the draw and 4.60 for Stevenage. The bookmakers make Bolton Wanderers favourites, at about 54% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bolton Wanderers to win, with a 54% chance. The market puts it at 53% and our match model at 55%, and blending those with recent form gives 54%. The best price, 1.75 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.87. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.