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Luton Town v Northampton Town prediction

Wed 15 Apr, 19:45 League One Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Luton Town to win 70%
Luton 70% Draw 19% Northampton 11%
Best price1.30 bet365 Fair price1.42 from our 70%

How we got to 70%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 72%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 67%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLuton Town to win 70%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Luton Town All games W W D W W
2–1 at WYC 3–2 v EXE 1–1 v STO 2–1 v PTU 3–0 at AWM
Northampton Town All games L L L L L
0–2 v BRA 1–2 at STO 1–4 at MAN 0–1 at BDC 1–3 v WIG

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 6 of Luton Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Northampton Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLutonDrawNorthampton
bet365 1.30 5.50 8.00
WilliamHill 1.29 5.00 8.50
Betfair 1.25 5.50 11.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Luton Town v Northampton Town: prediction and result

Luton Town hosted Northampton Town in the League One on Wednesday 15 April and won 2–1.

Luton Town are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win away at AFC Wimbledon.

Northampton Town are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Wigan Athletic.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.30 for Luton, 5.50 for the draw and 11.00 for Northampton. The bookmakers make Luton Town favourites, at about 74% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Luton Town to win, with a 70% chance. The market puts it at 72% and our match model at 67%, and blending those with recent form gives 70%. The best price, 1.30 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.42. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.