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Peterborough United v Port Vale prediction

Thu 16 Apr, 19:45 League One Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Peterborough United to win 58%
Peterborough 58% Draw 22% Port Vale 20%
Best price1.60 WilliamHill Fair price1.72 from our 58%

How we got to 58%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 59%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 57%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePeterborough United to win 58%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Peterborough United All games W D L D L
5–0 v RTU 1–1 at AWM 1–2 at LUT 1–1 v CDF 1–3 at BLK
Port Vale All games W L L W D
1–0 v BOL 0–1 at DNR 0–4 at WYC 1–0 v RTU 0–0 v BRS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 4 of Peterborough United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Port Vale's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPeterboroughDrawPort Vale
WilliamHill 1.60 3.80 5.00
Betfair 1.57 4.10 5.50
bet365 1.57 4.33 4.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Peterborough United v Port Vale: prediction and result

Peterborough United hosted Port Vale in the League One on Thursday 16 April, and Port Vale won 1–3 away from home.

Peterborough United are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Blackpool.

Port Vale are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Barnsley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.60 for Peterborough, 4.33 for the draw and 5.50 for Port Vale. The bookmakers make Peterborough United favourites, at about 60% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Peterborough United to win, with a 58% chance. The market puts it at 59% and our match model at 57%, and blending those with recent form gives 58%. The best price, 1.60 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.72. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.