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Bristol City v Southampton prediction

Tue 21 Oct, 20:00 Championship Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Bristol City to win 41%
Bristol 41% Draw 27% Southampton 31%
Best price2.45 Ladbrokes Fair price2.43 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 38%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBristol City to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bristol City All games W
1–0 at NOR
Southampton All games D
0–0 v SWA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55%

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBristolDrawSouthampton
Ladbrokes 2.45 3.40 2.80
WilliamHill 2.45 3.20 2.80
bet365 2.45 3.30 2.80
Marathonbet 2.44 3.40 2.72
Betfair 2.30 3.25 2.70
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bristol City v Southampton: prediction and result

Bristol City hosted Southampton in the Championship on Tuesday 21 October and won 3–1.

Bristol City are in strong form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 1, 3 points from a possible 3. They have scored 1 and conceded 0 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Norwich City.

Southampton are in mixed form: 0 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 1, 1 points from a possible 3. They have scored 0 and conceded 0 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Swansea City.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.45 for Bristol, 3.40 for the draw and 2.80 for Southampton. The bookmakers see little between Bristol City and Southampton here.

Our prediction: Bristol City to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 38% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.45 at Ladbrokes, is longer than our fair price of 2.43, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
0–3 FT Ipswich Town v Charlton Athletic Ipswich Town to win 53% 1–2 FT Portsmouth v Coventry City Coventry City to win 45% 2–0 FT Millwall v Stoke City Millwall to win 42% 2–1 FT Hull City v Leicester City Leicester City to win 41% 1–0 FT Derby County v Norwich City Derby County to win 40% 0–1 FT Preston North End v Birmingham City Birmingham City to win 38% 1–3 FT Blackburn Rovers v Sheffield United Blackburn Rovers to win 36% 1–0 FT Wrexham v Oxford United Wrexham to win 47%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.