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Derby County v Norwich City prediction

Tue 21 Oct, 19:45 Championship Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Derby County to win 40%
Derby 40% Draw 29% Norwich 31%
Best price2.30 Ladbrokes Fair price2.50 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceDerby County to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Derby County All games L
0–1 at OXF
Norwich City All games L L
1–3 at IPS 0–1 v BSC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 1 of Norwich City's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerDerbyDrawNorwich
Ladbrokes 2.30 3.25 3.10
WilliamHill 2.30 3.10 3.10
Marathonbet 2.25 3.25 3.12
bet365 2.25 3.25 3.20
Betfair 2.15 3.00 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Derby County v Norwich City: prediction and result

Derby County hosted Norwich City in the Championship on Tuesday 21 October and won 1–0.

Derby County are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 1, 0 points from a possible 3. They have scored 0 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Oxford United.

Norwich City are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 2, 0 points from a possible 6. They have scored 1 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Bristol City.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Derby, 3.25 for the draw and 3.20 for Norwich. The bookmakers make Derby County favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Derby County to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.30 at Ladbrokes, is shorter than our fair price of 2.50. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.