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Preston North End v Birmingham City prediction

Tue 21 Oct, 19:45 Championship Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Birmingham City to win 38%
Preston North End 32% Draw 30% Birmingham 38%
Best price2.70 Betfair Fair price2.62 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBirmingham City to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Preston North End All games L
1–2 at WBA
Birmingham City All games L
2–3 v HUL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48%

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPreston North EndDrawBirmingham
bet365 3.00 3.00 2.55
Marathonbet 2.92 3.00 2.52
WilliamHill 2.90 2.90 2.50
Ladbrokes 2.87 3.10 2.60
Betfair 2.70 2.80 2.70
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Preston North End v Birmingham City: prediction and result

Preston North End hosted Birmingham City in the Championship on Tuesday 21 October, and Birmingham City won 0–1 away from home.

Preston North End are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 1, 0 points from a possible 3. They have scored 1 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at West Bromwich Albion.

Birmingham City are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 1, 0 points from a possible 3. They have scored 2 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat at home to Hull City.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Preston North End, 3.10 for the draw and 2.70 for Birmingham. The bookmakers see little between Birmingham City and Preston North End here.

Our prediction: Birmingham City to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.70 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.62, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.