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Millwall v Stoke City prediction

Tue 21 Oct, 19:45 Championship Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Millwall to win 42%
Millwall 42% Draw 29% Stoke 30%
Best price2.45 WilliamHill Fair price2.41 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 39%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 46%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMillwall to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Millwall All games W
2–1 at QPR
Stoke City All games W
1–0 v WXH

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50%

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMillwallDrawStoke
WilliamHill 2.45 3.10 2.90
Marathonbet 2.43 3.15 2.91
Betfair 2.38 3.00 3.00
Ladbrokes 2.37 3.20 3.00
bet365 2.35 3.25 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Millwall v Stoke City: prediction and result

Millwall hosted Stoke City in the Championship on Tuesday 21 October and won 2–0.

Millwall are in strong form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 1, 3 points from a possible 3. They have scored 2 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Queens Park Rangers.

Stoke City are in strong form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 1, 3 points from a possible 3. They have scored 1 and conceded 0 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Wrexham.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.45 for Millwall, 3.25 for the draw and 3.00 for Stoke. The bookmakers make Millwall favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Millwall to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 39% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.45 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.41, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.