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Reading v Northampton Town prediction

Tue 21 Oct, 20:00 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Reading to win 45%
Reading 45% Draw 28% Northampton 27%
Best price2.00 Ladbrokes Fair price2.21 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceReading to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Reading All games D L
1–1 at EXE 1–2 at CDF
Northampton Town All games L W
1–2 v RTU 2–1 at DNR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 1 of Northampton Town's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerReadingDrawNorthampton
Ladbrokes 2.00 3.30 3.75
Betfair 1.95 3.25 3.50
WilliamHill 1.95 3.30 3.90
Marathonbet 1.94 3.40 3.80
bet365 1.90 3.40 3.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Reading v Northampton Town: prediction and result

Reading hosted Northampton Town in the League One on Tuesday 21 October and won 1–0.

Reading are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 1 points from a possible 6. They have scored 2 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Cardiff City.

Northampton Town are in decent form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 3 points from a possible 6. They have scored 3 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Doncaster Rovers.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.00 for Reading, 3.40 for the draw and 3.90 for Northampton. The bookmakers make Reading favourites, at about 48% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Reading to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.00 at Ladbrokes, is shorter than our fair price of 2.21. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.