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Exeter City v Plymouth Argyle prediction

Thu 23 Oct, 20:00 League One Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Plymouth Argyle to win 38%
Exeter 35% Draw 27% Plymouth 38%
Best price2.40 WilliamHill Fair price2.66 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 39%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 35%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePlymouth Argyle to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Exeter City All games D L
1–1 v RDG 0–1 at STO
Plymouth Argyle All games L
1–2 v AWM

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 1 of Exeter City's last 1 home games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerExeterDrawPlymouth
Ladbrokes 3.00 3.30 2.30
Marathonbet 2.92 3.26 2.36
WilliamHill 2.90 3.10 2.40
Betfair 2.80 3.00 2.25
bet365 2.80 3.40 2.35
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Exeter City v Plymouth Argyle: prediction and result

Exeter City hosted Plymouth Argyle in the League One on Thursday 23 October and won 2–0.

Exeter City are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 1 points from a possible 6. They have scored 1 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Stockport County.

Plymouth Argyle are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 1, 0 points from a possible 3. They have scored 1 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to AFC Wimbledon.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Exeter, 3.40 for the draw and 2.40 for Plymouth. The bookmakers make Plymouth Argyle favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 39% and our match model at 35%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.40 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.66. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.