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Northampton Town v Luton Town prediction

Sat 25 Oct, 15:00 League One Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Luton Town to win 44%
Northampton 28% Draw 28% Luton 44%
Best price2.00 Ladbrokes Fair price2.26 from our 44%

How we got to 44%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLuton Town to win 44%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Northampton Town All games L W L
1–2 v RTU 2–1 at DNR 0–1 at RDG
Luton Town All games L
0–2 v MAN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 1 of Northampton Town's last 1 home games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNorthamptonDrawLuton
bet365 4.10 3.10 1.95
Betfair 4.00 3.00 1.85
Ladbrokes 4.00 3.20 2.00
WilliamHill 3.90 3.10 2.00
Marathonbet 3.88 3.20 1.99
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Northampton Town v Luton Town: prediction and result

Northampton Town hosted Luton Town in the League One on Saturday 25 October, and Luton Town won 0–1 away from home.

Northampton Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 3, 3 points from a possible 9. They have scored 3 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Reading.

Luton Town are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 1, 0 points from a possible 3. They have scored 0 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Mansfield Town.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 4.10 for Northampton, 3.20 for the draw and 2.00 for Luton. The bookmakers make Luton Town favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Luton Town to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 2.00 at Ladbrokes, is shorter than our fair price of 2.26. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.