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AFC Wimbledon v Burton Albion prediction

Sat 25 Oct, 15:00 League One Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
AFC Wimbledon to win 48%
AFC Wimbledon 48% Draw 28% Burton 24%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.08 from our 48%

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAFC Wimbledon to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Wimbledon All games D W
1–1 v PTV 2–1 at PLA
Burton Albion All games W L
3–0 v BOL 0–1 v PTU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 1 of AFC Wimbledon's last 1 home games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC WimbledonDrawBurton
WilliamHill 2.05 3.00 3.90
Marathonbet 2.02 3.16 3.84
bet365 2.00 3.20 3.80
Ladbrokes 1.95 3.10 3.50
Betfair 1.87 3.25 4.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Wimbledon v Burton Albion: prediction and result

AFC Wimbledon hosted Burton Albion in the League One on Saturday 25 October, and Burton Albion won 0–1 away from home.

AFC Wimbledon are in decent form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 2, 4 points from a possible 6. They have scored 3 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Plymouth Argyle.

Burton Albion are in decent form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 3 points from a possible 6. They have scored 3 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Peterborough United.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.05 for AFC Wimbledon, 3.25 for the draw and 4.00 for Burton. The bookmakers make AFC Wimbledon favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: AFC Wimbledon to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.08. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.