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Manchester United v Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Sat 25 Oct, 17:30 Premier League Full time 4–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Manchester United to win 45%
Man United 45% Draw 25% Brighton 30%
Best price2.03 Marathonbet Fair price2.20 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester United to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Manchester United All games W
2–1 at LIV
Brighton & Hove Albion All games D W
1–1 at WOL 2–1 v NEW

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes61% Both teams scored in 1 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMan UnitedDrawBrighton
Marathonbet 2.03 3.92 3.46
WilliamHill 2.00 3.75 3.40
Ladbrokes 2.00 3.75 3.30
bet365 1.95 3.80 3.40
Betfair 1.90 3.50 3.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Manchester United v Brighton & Hove Albion: prediction and result

Manchester United hosted Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Saturday 25 October and won 4–2.

Manchester United are in strong form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 1, 3 points from a possible 3. They have scored 2 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Liverpool.

Brighton & Hove Albion are in decent form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 2, 4 points from a possible 6. They have scored 3 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Newcastle United.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.03 for Man United, 3.92 for the draw and 3.46 for Brighton. The bookmakers make Manchester United favourites, at about 48% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester United to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.03 at Marathonbet, is shorter than our fair price of 2.20. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.