How we got to 66%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Arsenal
All games
W
Crystal Palace
All games
L
D
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersArsenal v Crystal Palace: prediction and result
Arsenal hosted Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Sunday 26 October and won 1–0.
Arsenal are in strong form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 1, 3 points from a possible 3. They have scored 1 and conceded 0 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Fulham.
Crystal Palace are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 1 points from a possible 6. They have scored 4 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–3 draw at home to AFC Bournemouth.
The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 1.41 for Arsenal, 5.00 for the draw and 8.30 for Crystal Palace. The bookmakers make Arsenal favourites, at about 69% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Arsenal to win, with a 66% chance. The market puts it at 68% and our match model at 63%, and blending those with recent form gives 66%. The best price, 1.41 at Marathonbet, is shorter than our fair price of 1.52. The pick won.
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