How we got to 56%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Newcastle United
All games
W
L
Fulham
All games
L
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersNewcastle United v Fulham: prediction and result
Newcastle United hosted Fulham in the Premier League on Saturday 25 October and won 2–1.
Newcastle United are in decent form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 3 points from a possible 6. They have scored 3 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Brighton & Hove Albion.
Fulham are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 1, 0 points from a possible 3. They have scored 0 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Arsenal.
The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 1.62 for Newcastle, 4.20 for the draw and 5.50 for Fulham. The bookmakers make Newcastle United favourites, at about 60% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Newcastle United to win, with a 56% chance. The market puts it at 58% and our match model at 53%, and blending those with recent form gives 56%. The best price, 1.62 at Marathonbet, is shorter than our fair price of 1.77. The pick won.
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