How we got to 44%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Brighton & Hove Albion
All games
D
W
L
Leeds United
All games
L
W
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersBrighton & Hove Albion v Leeds United: prediction and result
Brighton & Hove Albion hosted Leeds United in the Premier League on Saturday 1 November and won 3–0.
Brighton & Hove Albion are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 3, 4 points from a possible 9. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–4 defeat away at Manchester United.
Leeds United are in decent form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 3 points from a possible 6. They have scored 2 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to West Ham United.
The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 1.95 for Brighton, 3.70 for the draw and 4.05 for Leeds. The bookmakers make Brighton & Hove Albion favourites, at about 50% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 1.95 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.27. The pick won.
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