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Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth prediction

Sun 2 Nov, 16:30 Premier League Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Manchester City to win 67%
Man City 67% Draw 19% AFC Bournemouth 14%
Best price1.44 Ladbrokes Fair price1.50 from our 67%

How we got to 67%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 66%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 68%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester City to win 67%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Manchester City All games W W L
1–0 at BRE 2–0 v EVE 0–1 at AVL
AFC Bournemouth All games D W
3–3 at CRY 2–0 v NFO

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 0 of Manchester City's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of AFC Bournemouth's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMan CityDrawAFC Bournemouth
Ladbrokes 1.44 5.00 6.50
Marathonbet 1.44 5.20 6.95
bet365 1.42 5.00 6.50
WilliamHill 1.40 4.60 6.50
Betfair 1.38 4.75 6.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth: prediction and result

Manchester City hosted AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League on Sunday 2 November and won 3–1.

Manchester City are in decent form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 3, 6 points from a possible 9. They have scored 3 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Aston Villa.

AFC Bournemouth are in decent form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 2, 4 points from a possible 6. They have scored 5 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Nottingham Forest.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 1.44 for Man City, 5.20 for the draw and 6.95 for AFC Bournemouth. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 67% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 67% chance. The market puts it at 66% and our match model at 68%, and blending those with recent form gives 67%. The best price, 1.44 at Ladbrokes, is shorter than our fair price of 1.50. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.